Isishwankathelo seMarike
Imakethi yokuthumela ngaphandle ye-polystyrene (PS) yehlabathi ingena kwinqanaba lokutshintsha ngo-2025, apho kuqikelelwa ukuba urhwebo lufikelela kwi-8.5 yezigidi zeetoni zemetric ezixabisa i-$12.3 yezigidigidi. Oku kubonisa ukukhula kwe-CAGR ye-3.8% ukusuka kumanqanaba ka-2023, okuqhutywa ziipateni zemfuno eziguqukayo kunye nohlengahlengiso lwecandelo lobonelelo lwengingqi.
Amacandelo eMarike aPhambili:
- I-GPPS (iCrystal PS): i-55% yempahla ethunyelwa kwamanye amazwe iyonke
- I-HIPS (Impembelelo Ephezulu): 35% yezinto ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe
- I-EPS (i-PS eyandisiweyo): yi-10% kwaye ikhula ngokukhawuleza kwi-6.2% CAGR
Iinguqu zorhwebo zeSithili
I-Asia-Pacific (72% yezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle kwihlabathi liphela)
- iTshayina:
- Ukugcina isabelo sokuthumela ngaphandle se-45% nangona kukho imithetho yokusingqongileyo
- Ukongezwa komthamo omtsha kumaphondo aseZhejiang naseGuangdong (1.2 yezigidi zeerandi ngonyaka)
- Amaxabiso e-FOB alindeleke kwi-$1,150-$1,300/MT
- Umzantsi-mpuma weAsia:
- IVietnam neMalaysia zivela njengababoneleli abahlukileyo
- Ukukhula kwe-18% yokuthumela ngaphandle kulindeleke ngenxa yokutshintshwa korhwebo
- Amaxabiso akhuphisanayo kwi-$1,100-$1,250/MT
EMpuma Ephakathi (15% yezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle)
- ISaudi Arabia ne-UAE zisebenzisa izibonelelo ze-feedstock
- I-Sadara complex entsha inyusa imveliso
- Amaxabiso e-CFR Europe ayakhuphisana kwi-$1,350-$1,450/MT
IYurophu (8% yezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle)
- Gxila kumabanga akhethekileyo kunye ne-PS ephinde yasetyenziswa
- Umthamo wezinto ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe wehla nge-3% ngenxa yemiqathango yemveliso
- Amaxabiso aphezulu kwiimaki ezizinzileyo (+20-25%)
Abaqhubi beemfuno kunye nemingeni
Amacandelo oKhulo:
- Uyilo olutsha lokuPakisha
- Imfuno yeGPPS ecacileyo kakhulu kwiipakethe zokutya zeprimiyamu (+9% YoY)
- I-EPS ezinzileyo yezisombululo zokupakisha ezikhuselayo
- Ukwanda koLwakhiwo
- Imfuno yokufakelwa kwe-EPS kwiimarike zaseAsia naseMbindi Mpuma
- Izicelo zekhonkrithi ezikhaphukhaphu eziqhuba ukukhula kwe-12%
- Izixhobo ze-elektroniki zabathengi
- IiHIPS zezindlu zezixhobo kunye nezixhobo zeofisi
Imiqobo yeMarike:
- Ukuvalwa kweplastiki esetyenziswa kanye okuchaphazela i-18% yezicelo ze-PS zemveli
- Ukuguquguquka kwezinto eziluhlaza (amaxabiso e-benzene atshintshatshintsha nge-15-20%)
- Iindleko zezothutho zinyuka ngama-25-30% kwiindlela eziphambili zokuthumela ngenqanawa
Utshintsho Lozinzo
Iimpembelelo zoLawulo:
- Umyalelo we-EU SUP unciphisa ukuthunyelwa kwe-PS ngaphandle nge-150,000 MT ngonyaka
- Iinkqubo zoXanduva loMvelisi oluNgezelelweyo (i-EPR) zongeza i-8-12% kwiindleko
- Imiyalelo emitsha yomxholo ophinda usetyenziswe (ubuncinci obuyi-30% kwiimarike eziphambili)
Izisombululo Ezivelayo:
- Izityalo zokusebenzisa iikhemikhali kwakhona ziza kwi-intanethi eYurophu/eAsia
- Uphuhliso lwe-PS olusekelwe kwi-bio (iiprojekthi ezi-5 zovavanyo ezilindeleke ngo-2025)
- I-premium ye-rPS (i-PS ephinde yasetyenziswa) kwi-15-20% ngaphezu kwezinto ezingabonakaliyo
Imbonakalo yoMgaqo-nkqubo weXabiso noRhwebo
Iindlela zokuThengisa amaxabiso:
- Amaxabiso okuthumela kwamanye amazwe aseAsia aqikelelwa kuluhlu lwe-$1,100-$1,400/MT
- Amanqaku akhethekileyo aseYurophu abiza i-$1,600-$1,800/MT
- Amaxabiso okulingana kwelizwe athengiswa eLatin America yi-$1,500-$1,650/MT
Uphuhliso lweMigaqo-nkqubo yoRhwebo:
- Iirhafu ezinokubakho zokuchasa ukulahla inkunkuma kwi-PS yaseTshayina kwiimarike ezininzi
- Iimfuneko ezintsha zoxwebhu lozinzo
- Izivumelwano zorhwebo ezikhethekileyo ezixhasa abathengisi be-ASEAN
Iingcebiso zoBuchule
- Icebo leMveliso:
- Shintshela kwizicelo ezixabisa kakhulu (ezonyango, ze-elektroniki)
- Phuhlisa iindlela zokutya ezihambelanayo
- Tyala imali kwiimatriki zePS eziguquliweyo kunye neeprofayili ezingcono zozinzo
- Ukwahlukahlukana kweendawo:
- Yandisa kwiimarike ezikhula ngokukhawuleza eAfrika naseMzantsi Asia
- Seka ubudlelwane bokusebenzisa izinto ngokutsha eYurophu/eMntla Melika
- Sebenzisa ii-ASEAN FTAs ukuze ufumane iingenelo zerhafu
- Ubuchule bokusebenza:
- Lungiselela uthutho ngokusebenzisa amaqhinga okusondela
- Sebenzisa ukulandelwa kwedijithali ukuze kuthotyelwe ukugcinwa kozinzo
- Phuhlisa iinkqubo ezivaliweyo zeemarike zeprimiyamu
Imarike yokuthumela ngaphandle ye-PS ngo-2025 inika imingeni ebalulekileyo kunye namathuba. Iinkampani eziphumelela ekuguqukeni kozinzo ngelixa zisebenzisa izicelo ezintsha ziya kuba kwindawo yokufumana isabelo semarike kule meko itshintshayo.
Ixesha leposi: Julayi-07-2025