ISISHWANKATHELO sebhunga
Imakethi yokuthumela ngaphandle iplastiki yepolycarbonate (PC) yehlabathi ilungele inguqu ebalulekileyo ngo-2025, iqhutywa ziipateni eziguqukayo zemfuno, izigunyaziso zozinzo, kunye namandla orhwebo lwe-geopolitical. Njengeplastiki yobunjineli esebenza kakhulu, iPC iyaqhubeka nokudlala indima ebalulekileyo kwiimoto, kwi-elektroniki, nakwizicelo zonyango, kunye nemarike yokuthumela ngaphandle kwehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba ifikelele kwi-5.8 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ekupheleni konyaka ka-2025, ikhula kwi-CAGR ye-4.2% ukusuka ngo-2023.
Abaqhubi beMarike kunye neeNdlela
1. UHlumo lweeMfuno eziQhelekileyo kwiCandelo
- I-Boom Vehicle Boom: Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-PC kumacandelo e-EV (izibuko zokutshaja, izindlu zebhetri, izikhokelo ezikhanyayo) kulindeleke ukuba zikhule nge-18% YoY.
- Ukwandiswa kweZiseko ze-5G: i-25% yokwanda kwemfuno yamacandelo e-PC aqhelekileyo kunxibelelwano lwe-telecommunications
- I-Innovation ye-Medical Device: Ukukhula kwamanye amazwe kwi-PC yebakala lezonyango kwizixhobo zotyando kunye nezixhobo zokuxilonga
2. IiDynamics zeNgingqi zokuThumela ngaphandle
I-Asiya-Pasifiki (i-65% yokuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwelizwe jikelele)
- I-China: Ukugcina ubukhosi kunye ne-38% yesabelo semarike kodwa sijongene nemiqobo yorhwebo
- I-South Korea: Iphuma njengenkokeli esemgangathweni kunye ne-12% yokukhula kwamanye amazwe kwi-PC ephezulu
- EJapan: Kugxilwe kumabakala akhethekileyo ePC kusetyenziso lwamehlo
IYurophu (18% yokuthunyelwa ngaphandle)
- IJamani kunye neNetherlands zihamba phambili kwi-PC esebenza kakhulu kumazwe angaphandle
- I-15% yokwanda kwe-PC ehlaziyiweyo (rPC) ukuthunyelwa ukuhlangabezana neemfuno ezijikelezayo zoqoqosho
UMntla Melika (i-12% yokuthunyelwa ngaphandle)
- Ukuthunyelwa kwe-US kutshintshela eMexico phantsi kwamalungiselelo e-USMCA
- ICanada ivela njengomthengisi wezinto ezizezinye zePC ezisekwe kwibhayoloji
Imbonakalo yoRhwebo kunye neXabiso
1. Uqikelelo lweendleko zeMathiriyeli ekrwada
- Amaxabiso eBenzene abikezela kwi-$ 850-$ 950 / MT, echaphazela iindleko zokuvelisa i-PC
- Amaxabiso e-FOB aseAsia alindeleke ukuba afikelele kwi-$2,800-$3,200/MT ngebakala eliqhelekileyo
- Izavenge zePC zodidi lwezonyango zifikelele kuma-25-30% ngaphezulu komgangatho
2. Iimpembelelo zoMgaqo-nkqubo woRhwebo
- Amaxabiso anokubakho yi-8-12% kwi-PC yaseTshayina ethunyelwa ngaphandle kwi-EU nakuMntla Melika
- Izatifikethi ezitsha zozinzo ezifunekayo kwiimpahla ezisuka kumazwe angaphandle zaseYurophu (EPD, Cradle-to-Cradle)
- Uxinzelelo lwezorhwebo lwase-US-China ludala amathuba kubathengisi bangaphandle base-Asia-mpuma
Ukhuphiswano Lomhlaba
IziCwangciso eziPhambili zokuThunyelelwa kwamanye amazwe zowama-2025
- Ubungcali beeMveliso: Ukuphuhlisa amabakala angenawo amadangatye kunye nawona aphezulu
- Ukugxila kozinzo: Utyalo-mali kubuchwephesha bokurisayikilisha iikhemikhali
- Ukwahluka kweNgingqi: Ukuseka imveliso kumazwe ase-ASEAN ukuze kudlule imirhumo
Imingeni kunye namaThuba
Imingeni emikhulu
- I-15-20% ukunyuka kweendleko zokuthotyelwa kwe-REACH kunye ne-FDA izatifikethi
- Ukhuphiswano oluvela kwezinye izixhobo (PMMA, modified PET)
- Ukuphazamiseka kwempahla kuLwandle oluBomvu kunye nePanama Canal echaphazela iindleko zokuthumela ngenqanawa
Amathuba avelayo
- UMbindi Mpuma ungena kwimarike ngamandla amatsha emveliso
- I-Afrika njengemarike yokungenisa elizweni ekhulayo ye-PC yebakala lokwakha
- Uqoqosho lwesetyhula ludala i-1.2 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zeemarike zokuthunyelwa kwe-PC ehlaziyiweyo
Isiphelo kunye neeNgcebiso
Imarike yokuthumela ngaphandle kwePC ka-2025 iveza imingeni kunye namathuba abalulekileyo. Abathengisi bangaphandle kufuneka:
- Ukwahluka kweziseko zemveliso ukunciphisa imingcipheko yezelizwe
- Tyala kwimveliso ezinzileyo ukuhlangabezana ne-EU kunye nemigangatho yaseMntla Melika
- Ukuphuhlisa amabakala akhethekileyo kumacandelo aphezulu e-EV kunye ne-5G
- Seka ubuhlakani nabasebenza ngokutsha ukwenza inkunzi kwiintsingiselo zoqoqosho ezijikelezayo
Ngokucwangciswa kobuchule obufanelekileyo, abathumeli be-PC bangakwazi ukuzulazula kwimeko-bume yorhwebo entsonkothileyo ka-2025 ngelixa befumana imali kwimfuno ekhulayo kwizicelo zesizukulwana esilandelayo.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jun-25-2025