Ukungena ngo-2023, ngenxa yemfuno ecothayo kwimimandla eyahlukeneyo, imakethi yehlabathi ye-polyvinyl chloride (PVC) isajongene nokungaqiniseki. Ngexesha elininzi le-2022, amaxabiso e-PVC e-Asia nase-United States abonise ukuhla ngokukhawuleza kwaye aphantsi ngaphambi kokungena kwi-2023. Ukungena kwi-2023, phakathi kwemimandla eyahlukeneyo, emva kokuba i-China ilungelelanise imigaqo-nkqubo yokuthintela kunye nokulawula ubhubhane, imarike ilindele ukuphendula; I-United States inokunyusa ngakumbi amaxabiso enzala ukuze kuliwe nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokunqanda imfuno yasekhaya yePVC eMelika. I-Asiya, ekhokelwa yi-China, kunye ne-United States ziye zandisa ukuthunyelwa kwe-PVC ngaphandle kwemfuno ebuthathaka yehlabathi. Ngokuphathelele iYurophu, ummandla usazokujongana nengxaki yamaxabiso aphezulu amandla kunye nokuhla kwamandla emali, kwaye mhlawumbi akuyi kubakho ukubuyiswa okuzinzileyo kwimida yenzuzo yoshishino.
IYurophu ijongene nokudodobala koqoqosho
Abathathi-nxaxheba beMakethi balindele ukuba i-European caustic soda kunye ne-PVC yemarike ngo-2023 ixhomekeke kubunzima bokudodobala koqoqosho kunye nefuthe lako kwimfuno. Kwikhonkco loshishino lwe-chlor-alkali, inzuzo yabavelisi iqhutywa yimpembelelo yokulinganisa phakathi kwe-caustic soda kunye ne-PVC resin, apho enye imveliso ingenza ukulahlekelwa kwenye. Ngo-2021, zombini iimveliso ziya kuba kwimfuno eyomeleleyo, kunye nePVC elawulayo. Kodwa ngo-2022, imfuno ye-PVC yacotha njengoko imveliso ye-chlor-alkali yanyanzeleka ukuba icuthe umthwalo phakathi kwamaxabiso anyukayo e-caustic soda ngenxa yobunzima bezoqoqosho kunye neendleko eziphezulu zamandla. Iingxaki zokuvelisa igesi yeklorini ziye zakhokelela ekunikezeni i-soda ye-caustic eqinile, ukutsala inani elikhulu lee-odolo zempahla yase-US, ukutyhala amaxabiso angaphandle ase-US ukuya kwinqanaba eliphezulu ukususela ngo-2004. Ngelo xesha, ixabiso lendawo ye-PVC eYurophu liye lawa kakhulu, kodwa liya kuhlala. phakathi kwezona ziphezulu emhlabeni kude kube sekupheleni kuka-2022.
Abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike balindele ubuthathaka obongezelelweyo kwi-European caustic soda kunye neemarike zePVC kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2023, njengoko imfuno yokuphela kwabathengi iyancipha ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Umrhwebi we-caustic soda wathi ngoNovemba ka-2022: "Amaxabiso aphezulu e-caustic soda abangela intshabalalo yemfuno." Nangona kunjalo, abanye abathengisi bathi i-caustic soda kunye neemarike ze-PVC ziya kulungelelanisa kwi-2023, kwaye abavelisi baseYurophu banokuzuza ngeli xesha Ngamaxabiso aphezulu e-soda ye-caustic.
Ukudodobala kwemfuno yase-US konyusa ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle
Ukungena kwi-2023, abavelisi be-chlor-alkali abadibeneyo base-US baya kugcina imithwalo ephezulu yokusebenza kunye nokugcina amaxabiso anamandla e-caustic soda, ngelixa amaxabiso e-PVC abuthathaka kunye nemfuno kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke, imithombo yemarike yathi. Ukusukela ngoMeyi ka-2022, ixabiso lokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-PVC e-United States liye lehla malunga ne-62%, ngelixa ixabiso lokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-caustic soda linyuke malunga ne-32% ukusuka ngoMeyi ukuya kuNovemba ka-2022, emva koko laqala ukuwa. Umthamo we-caustic soda yase-US wehle nge-9% ukusukela ngoMatshi ka-2021, ngenxa yothotho lokungabikho kwe-Olin, ekwaxhasa amaxabiso anamandla e-caustic soda. Ukungena ngo-2023, amandla amaxabiso e-caustic soda nawo aya kuba buthathaka, nangona izinga lokuhla linokucotha.
I-Westlake Chemical, omnye wabavelisi base-US bePVC resin, iphinde yanciphisa umthwalo wayo wemveliso kunye nokwandisa ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe ngenxa yemfuno ebuthathaka yeeplastiki ezihlala ixesha elide. Ngelixa ukwehla kwexabiso lenzala yase-US kunokukhokelela ekunyukeni kwemfuno yasekhaya, abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike bathi ukubuyiswa kwehlabathi kuxhomekeke ekubeni imfuno yasekhaya e-China iphinda ibuyele.
Gxininisa kwimfuno enokuthi ifumaneke kwakhona e-China
Imakethi ye-PVC yase-Asiya inokuphinda ibuyele ekuqaleni kuka-2023, kodwa imithombo yentengiso ithi ukuchacha kuya kuhlala kunomda ukuba imfuno yaseTshayina ayibuyiseli ngokupheleleyo. Amaxabiso e-PVC e-Asia aya kuhla ngokukhawuleza kwi-2022, kunye neengcaphuno ngoDisemba waloo nyaka ebetha kwinqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu ukususela ngoJuni 2020. Loo manqanaba exabiso abonakala ekhuthaze ukuthengwa kwendawo, ephakamisa ukulindela ukuba isilayidi sinokuthi siphume phantsi, imithombo yemarike yathi.
Umthombo uphinde wabonisa ukuba xa kuthelekiswa ne-2022, indawo yokunikezelwa kwePVC e-Asia kwi-2023 inokuhlala iphantsi kwinqanaba, kwaye izinga lomthwalo wokusebenza liya kuncitshiswa ngenxa yempembelelo yemveliso yokuqhekeka phezulu. Imithombo yorhwebo ilindele ukuba ukuhamba kwe-US-imvelaphi yempahla ye-PVC ukuya e-Asia ukuba ihambe ngokukhawuleza ekuqaleni kwe-2023. Nangona kunjalo, imithombo yase-US yathi ukuba imfuno yaseShayina iphinde ibuyele, ekhokelela ekunciphiseni ukuthunyelwa kwe-PVC yaseTshayina, kunokubangela ukwanda kwe-US.
Ngokwedatha yecustom, i-PVC yase-China yathumela irekhodi kwiitoni ezingama-278,000 ngo-Epreli 2022. Ukuthunyelwa kwe-PVC yase-China kuyancipha kamva kwi-2022, njengoko amaxabiso athumela ngaphandle kwe-US PVC ehla, ngelixa amaxabiso e-PVC ase-Asia ehla kwaye amaxabiso omthwalo ehla, ngaloo ndlela abuyisela ukhuphiswano lwehlabathi lwase-Asia. I-PVC. Ukususela ngo-Oktobha 2022, umthamo wokuthunyelwa kwe-PVC waseChina wawuyi-96,600 yeetoni, elona nqanaba liphantsi ukususela ngo-Agasti 2021. Eminye imithombo yemarike yase-Asia yathi imfuno yaseTshayina iya kuphinda ibuyele kwi-2023 njengoko ilizwe lihlengahlengisa amanyathelo alo okulwa nobhubhane. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngenxa yeendleko eziphezulu zemveliso, izinga lomthwalo wokusebenza kwiifektri ze-PVC zase-China zehlile ukusuka kwi-70% ukuya kwi-56% ekupheleni kuka-2022.
Ixesha lokuposa: Feb-14-2023